Tag Archives: #LarryKrasner

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Killadelphia: Somebody talked? * Updated! *

Somebody talked.

Someone recognized the five shooters who jumped out of the stolen SUV from which the shooters, and possibly a sixth person, driving the vehicle, at the Roxborough High School shootings following a football scrimmage on September 27th. Perhaps it was the thus-far-unnamed 17-year-old black male who appears to be the intended target of the shooting which killed 14-year-old Nicholas Elizalde and wounded five others, or perhaps it was a bystander.

Or, perhaps nobody talked, but the Philadelphia Police were able to get some of what they need from forensic evidence from the stolen vehicle, which was found dumped outside a strip club.

Philly Police say a 16-year-old is expected to face murder charges in last week’s Roxborough High School shooting

Police believe Dayron Burney-Thorne participated in the crime, which left a 14-year-old boy dead and four others wounded. They declined to say if he’s a suspected shooter or get-away driver.

by Chris Palmer | Tuesday, October 4, 2022 | 2:04 PM EDT

Philadelphia detectives are searching for a 16-year-old who is expected to face murder charges over last week’s fatal shooting outside Roxborough High School, authorities said Tuesday.

Dayron Burney-Thorne, via Steve Keeley on Twitter Click to enlarge..

Deputy Commissioner Frank Vanore said police believe Dayron Burney-Thorne participated in the crime, which left a 14-year-old boy dead and four others wounded. Still, Vanore declined to specify if detectives believe Burney-Thorne was one of the five shooters who jumped out of an SUV and began firing in the ambush-style attack, or if the teen might have served as a getaway driver.“He was there and participated,” Vanore said.

A warrant had already been approved for Burney-Thorne’s arrest on counts including theft and obstruction of justice over his connection to the stolen Ford Explorer that was used in the crime, Vanore said. The teen was now also expected to be charged as an adult with counts including murder, attempted murder, and weapons offenses, according to police.

Remember when I said that, despite young Mr Elizalde’s mother stating that her son isn’t just “a number,” in the larger scheme of things, yes, he really was just a number? Well, in Chris Palmer’s article, Mr Elizalde’s name is not mentioned until the seventh paragraph. Instead of writing, in the second paragraph, “which left 14-year-old Nicholas Elizalde dead,” Mr Palmer wrote, “which left a 14-year-old boy dead.” A small point, perhaps, but noticeable, at least to a careful reader.

The Philadelphia Police Department released Mr Burney-Thorne’s mugshot on Twitter at 12:01 PM EDT, more than two hours before the Inquirer article was published, so reporter Chris Palmer had access to it, but the newspaper didn’t publish it. Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw tweeted, at 12:50 PM EDT, that Mr Burney-Thorne was still wanted, meaning that he was not yet in custody, and the newspaper could have helped the police by publishing his mugshot, but they didn’t. The last thing publisher Elizabeth Hughes’ “anti-racist news organization” wants to do is help law enforcement!

It seems that young Mr Burney-Thorne, of whom the Philadelphia Police already had a mugshot, so he’s been arrested previously, has a rather substantial criminal record already, having active warrants for theft, obstruction of justice, tampering with evidence and criminal conspiracy, and he’s just 16 years old.

Juvenile records are normally sealed, so perhaps we’ll never know, but it has to be asked: has Mr Burney-Thorne, who was only 12 when District Attorney Larry Krasner took office, been the beneficiary of lenient treatment by the Philadelphia District Attorney’s Office, and was it possible that Mr Burney-Thorne could have been locked up last Tuesday, had the District Attorney treated him seriously, when he (allegedly) made the ‘mistake’ that could send him to adult prison for the rest of his miserable life? If he could have been incarcerated in juvenile detention, he would not have been (allegedly) involved in Mr Elizalde’s murder, and who knows, perhaps Mr Elizalde would still be alive today.

We’ve seen this time and time and time again: someone treated too leniently by law enforcement — Nikolas Cruz being the most extreme example — has been enabled by that lenient treatment, and then goes out to commit a far worse crime, one which can get him locked up for decades, perhaps the rest of his life, and, in extreme cases, sentenced to death. Have such criminals really been done any favors by the ‘progressive’ prosecutors fighting ‘mass incarceration’?
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Updated! Tuesday, October 4, 2022 | 9:55 PM EDT

Via Steve Keeley of Fox 29 News, we find that yes, Mr Burney-Thorne has been treated leniently by the system:

Dayron Burney-Thorn’s priors include resisting arrest by @PhillyPolice in March last year while possessing gun illegally, law enforcement sources tell FOX29 News. Another arrest just 10 months ago in January. Law Enforcement sources tell FOX29 News Dayron Burney-Thorn,16, was then caught in January by @PhillyPolice 10 months after gun arrest, pushing a carjacked vehicle into a parking lot trying to hide it. He was charged with receipt of stolen property in that case. Burney-Thorn was released without bail after his latest charge in January for receipt of stolen property involving the prior carjacked vehicle he was caught pushing into a parking lot to hide it.

So, in March of 2021, Mr Burney=Thorne was arrested for the illegal possession of a firearm. If the District Attorney’s office levied any punishment at all against the offender, then aged just 15 years old, he was nevertheless out on the streets in January of 2022. He was then caught trying to hide a carjacked vehicle, and charged under Title 18 §3925, which is a third degree felony if the value of the stolen property exceeds $2,000 but is under $100,000. Under Title 18 §106(b)(4), the penalty for a felony in the third degree is imprisonment for up to seven years. Mr Burney-Thorne was released without any bail on this charge.

So, what do we have? A criminal suspect, who previously been arrested for the illegal possession of a firearm, was caught in possession of a carjacked vehicle, a crime of dramatically increased incidence in the City of Brotherly Love, and the DA just lets him go free? Is it any wonder that the suspect thought that he could get away with murder?

Mr Krasner and his office did Mr Burney-Thorne no favors. Caught with an illegal firearm, little or nothing was done. Then caught with a carjacked vehicle, again, nothing was done. Now young Mr Elizalde is stone-cold graveyard dead — something that could have happened without Mr Burney-Thorne’s participation — and the suspect is looking at a sentence of spending the rest of his pathetic life behind bars.

If the District Attorney had found a way to keep the suspect behind bars, he’d have been looking at a maximum sentence of seven years for the carjacking case, but still having the prospect of getting out of jail while in his twenties. Now, he’s looking at life.

This is the kind of thing that happens when ‘progressive’ George Soros-sponsored defense attorneys get elected as prosecutors: in their oh-so-noble sympathy for the poor and downtrodden, they enable the small-time criminals to become big-time criminals, rather than giving them the harsh lessons early, lessons which might, just might, persuade them to stop being criminals.

“Spare the rod and spoil the child” is an old, old saying, one in which Mr Krasner clearly does not believe, but in the case of Mr Burney-Thorne, that spoiled child just might spend the rest of his days in a maximum security prison.

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Do ‘progressive’ prosecutors equal bloody streets? Correlation does not equal causation, but it sure looks interesting

We have previously noted that while Philadelphia’s homicide rate increased after Jim Kenney replaced Michael Nutter as Mayor, things really began to take off after Larry Krasner became District Attorney. Now my good friend Robert Stacy McCain has noted how homicides took off in Baltimore after another George Soros-sponsored wokester, Marilyn Mosby, became Charm City’s prosecutor:

Homicides in the city increased dramatically after Mosby became the state’s attorney for Baltimore, and the crime wave she unleashed has reverberated across Maryland and into neighboring states, for the simple reason that failure to prosecute criminals in the city means they are free to commit crimes in other jurisdictions. Criminals from Baltimore that Mosby turned loose are perpetrating felonies throughout Maryland, as well as in Pennsylvania, Virginia, and the District of Columbia.

Mr Krasner has been trying to pass the responsibility for Philly’s surge in homicides on everything but himself, claiming that they’ve surged everywhere, but there’s a noticeable difference. In Baltimore, they surged in 2015, after Mrs Mosby took office in 2015, while in the City of Brotherly Love, there was an uptick, but not a huge one, certainly not the 63.03% increase seen when Mrs Mosby took office in Baltimore. Homicides actually dropped by a small amount, from 280 down to 277, in Mayor Jim Kenney’s first year, though they then pushed up to 315, a 13.72% jump, in 2017.

George Soros sent $1.45 million to Mr Krasner for his 2017 campaign, which he won, and then murders jumped to 353 his first year in office, then 356, then 499, and then to last year’s record shattering 562.

Baltimore’s population in 2015 was a guesstimated 622,851, which put Charm City’s homicide rate at a whopping 55.23 per 100,000 population. The city’s population has continued to shrink, and was down to 576,498 in 2021, which means that its 337 homicides, seven fewer than in 2015, results in an even higher 58.46 per 100,000 homicide rate. Philly’s gang-bangers have a lot of catching up to do to match Baltimore’s bloody streets!

Correlation does not equal causation, but it certainly is interesting how two Interstate 95 corridor cities both saw huge spikes in homicides after Soros-sponsorship put ‘progressive’ prosecutors in office.

 

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Killadelphia: With “leadership” like this, no wonder Philadelphia is in crisis!

The George Soros-sponsored, police-hating defense lawyer who got elected as Philadelphia’s chief prosecutor, tells us just what is wrong with the City of Brotherly Love:

Larry Krasner’s tweets continued to say:

Our office will continue to hold juveniles appropriately accountable while ensuring that they receive the resources and attention necessary to steer them in the right direction.

and:

I also want to emphasize the importance of violence prevention funding, which is necessary to truly achieve justice & avoid incidents like this from occurring. @philadao is now accepting applications through @PhilaFound for community-based violence prevention group microgrants.

So, what was this “fair and just outcome” about which Mr Krasner spoke?

Juvenile Adjudicated for Attempted Murder on SEPTA Platform

September 12, 2022

PHILADELPHIA (September 12, 2022) — Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner announced on Monday the adjudication of a 14-year-old male in juvenile court who was charged with Attempted Murder, Aggravated Assault, and multiple firearm charges for a non-fatal shooting that occurred on the afternoon of July 12, 2022 on a crowded SEPTA platform located at 15th and Market Streets beneath City Hall.The incident began when the juvenile defendant engaged in a verbal altercation with the victim after the defendant exited a train car. The defendant alleged that the victim spoke expletives and asked him if he wanted to “take it upstairs.” The defendant subsequently shot the 19-year-old male three times at point blank range with a 9mm handgun less than 20 seconds later, claiming that the victim had started to pull a firearm from his waistband and that the shots were fired in self-defense. The victim sustained wounds in the hand, chest, and abdomen and was hospitalized for nearly two weeks. The crime gun was never recovered.

SEPTA surveillance cameras captured the entire incident on video and played a critical role in helping police identify and apprehend the shooter. Station footage also helped convince the judge that the defendant’s self-defense claim lacked merit, as the victim declined to cooperate with Philadelphia police and the District Attorney’s Office.“I’m grateful to Assistant District Attorney James Quinn of the DAO’s Juvenile Unit for achieving a fair and just outcome in this case,” said DA Krasner. “Our office will continue to hold juveniles appropriately accountable while ensuring that they receive the resources and attention necessary to steer them in the right direction. I also want to emphasize the importance of robust violence prevention funding, which is necessary to truly achieve justice and avoid dangerous incidents like this from ever occurring in the first place. My office is now accepting applications through the Philadelphia Foundation for community-based violence prevention group microgrants.”

“I’m proud to have prosecuted this case,” said ADA James Quinn. “I’m also grateful to all of the SEPTA police officers, particularly SEPTA Officer Aaron Kinchey, who responded immediately to secure the scene and in all likelihood saved the life of this 19-year-old victim. I also want to thank Philadelphia Police Department Detective Michael Rocks for his excellent work in this investigation.’The DAO has resumed our Violence Prevention Grant Program. Local, community-based nonprofits interested in applying must email GrantmakingServices@philafound.org.

That’s the entirety of the press release, but did you notice the one thing you don’t see in either Mr Krasner’s tweets or the District Attorney’s Office statement? Though both state that such juvenile criminals will be held “appropriately accountable,” there is exactly zero mention of what the young criminal’s actual punishment was.

Of course, we can read between the lines of the press release. That “the victim declined to cooperate with Philadelphia police and the District Attorney’s Office” tells all we need to know: this was a 14-year-old gang-banger who blasted away at a 19-year-old gang-banger, and the ‘victim,’ the 19-year-old wasn’t going to cooperate to get the 14-year-old locked up, because the ‘victim’s’ gang will mete out their own street justice to the 14-year-old.

“The crime gun was never recovered.” That means it’s still out on the street, most probably with the shooter’s gang, and now the 14-year-old has established his ‘street cred,’ that he’s a bad MF.

Attempted murder is a first-degree felony in the Keystone State, the sentence for which, under Chapter 11: §1103(1) a term fixed by the court for not more than twenty years in prison. If the crime is aggravated assault, which may be either a first- or second-degree, under the same section, the sentence can be 10 to 20 years if in the first-degree, or 5 to 10 years if second-degree.

While the ‘victim’ might not have cooperated, the entire crime was caught on tape! The District Attorney’s Office did not need the cooperation of the ‘victim’ to convict this ‘juvenile’ and send him to prison for twenty years, to get him off the streets for a long, long time.

So, what did happen to the 14-year-old wannabe gang-banger? Was he sentenced to a term in juvie? Was he released to his parents, possibly with an ankle bracelet? Did he perhaps get a really strong talking-to by Mr Krasner? Whatever it was, we know one thing: he’ll be out on the streets soon enough, doubtlessly with another, or perhaps even the same, 9mm in his waistband, and next time it might not be yet another banger he shoots, next time it might be an innocent bystander like Tiffany Fletcher, caught in the crossfire.

Of course, it’s also true that the ‘victim’ or his buddies will administer that street justice, and the 14-year-old never sees 18.

Then there was Mayor Jim Kenney (D-Philadelphia)

The Mayor, who loves to blame everybody but himself, wants to blame the Republicans who control the state legislature. But what Pennsylvania law states is that no subordinate governmental unit may impose firearms control restrictions stronger than those under state law. Thus, while there might be a couple of tiny tweaks in there, the City of Brotherly Love is under the same firearms laws as the rest of the Commonwealth.

I lived in Jim Thorpe for 15 years, and during those 15 years we had two murders in Carbon County, one in 2004 and another in 2006. If there was another one, I never heard of it, and I did search through the data, which is, regrettably, by township and borough in the county, and found only the two mentioned. And, as I recall, neither involved a firearm!

So, if the problem is the Commonwealth’s firearms control laws, why are the homicide rates so very, very different in Philly?

I previously wrote that in 2020, there were 1,009 murders in the Keystone State, 499, or 49.45%, of which occurred in Philadelphia. According to the 2020 Census, Pennsylvania’s population was 13,002,700 while Philadelphia’s alone was 1,603,797, just 12.33% of Pennsylvania’s totals.

It got worse last year: with 562 homicides in Philly, out of 1027 total for Pennsylvania, 54.72% of all homicides in the Keystone State occurred in Philadelphia. Allegheny County, where Pittsburgh is located, was second, with 123 killings, 11.98% of the state’s total, but only 9.52% of Pennsylvania’s population.

The other 65 counties, with 78.11% of the state’s total population, had 33.30% of total murders.

And this year? Philadelphia is ahead of the pace of killings in 2021’s record-setting year. As of 11:59 PM EDT on Monday, September 12th, 386 people have spilled out their life’s blood in the city’s mean streets, an average of 1.5137 per day, which works out to a projected 552.51 killings in Philly for the year, if that rate remains constant. Last year, it didn’t, with a real spike in murders after Labor Day, to a rate of 1.7155 for the rest of the year. Will that happen again in 2022?

Well, who can know? But we do know one thing: the city’s elected leadership will not take responsibility for what the city has become. Mayor Kenney is term-limited; he cannot run for re-election. Mr Krasner, on the other hand, can run for District Attorney as many times as he wants, and after two landslide victories, both promising and having a record of avoiding putting people in jail, it seems difficult to believe that that isn’t exactly what a substantial majority of the voters want. He’d rather let drug dealers and gang-bangers go free, and apparently so do his constituents.

Her Majesty the Queen died a few days ago, after more than 70 years on the throne, but she was still Princess Elizabeth, the heir apparent to His Majesty King George VI when Philadelphia’s last Republican mayor left office. Seventy years of unbroken Democratic policies have transformed the city on the Schuylkill into what it is today, our nation’s poorest and most internally segregated city of over a million people, as well as its deadliest.

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A couple of very uncomfortable questions

As we have noted many times, Philadelphia has been seeing a huge surge in homicides, and Mayor Jim Kenney wants no part, no part at all, of accepting responsibility. District Attorney Larry Krasner is also famed for passing the buck, while Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw, the Mayor’s hand-picked stooge, is far more concerned about inclusion and diversity than enforcing the law. To be fair, with Let ’em Loose Larry not seriously prosecuting most crimes, Commissioner Outlaw is really kind of helpless.

First, the math. With at least five homicides reported on Saturday and Sunday, Philly is sitting at at least 369 homicides as of the 247th day of the year, for a killing rate of 1.4939 per day, which works out to a projected 545.28 killings for the year. However, an alternate way of projecting the numbers, using 2021’s record-setting pace, gives us 574.52 projected murders.

Let’s tell the truth here: the vast majority of homicides in the City of Brotherly Love are perpetrated on black victims by black killers. As bad as Philadelphia’s homicide problem is, it is very much a black problem, while white Philadelphians see themselves as much safer.

We have noted that the homicide rate in Philly came down under previous Mayor Michael Nutter, District Attorney Seth Williams, and Police Commissioner Charles Ramsey, and that, as of August 9th, Philly had seen more homicides this year than any full year under Mayor Nutter and his staff.

Mr Nutter, like Mayor Kenney, is a liberal Democrat. Mr Krasner is a hard-left Democrat, sponsored, to the tune of $1.45 million by George Soros, while the previously elected District Attorney, Seth Williams, was also a liberal Democrat, though maybe not quite as far left as Mr Krasner. Mr Williams had his own legal problems, and was forced to resign after a federal conviction, for which he spent 2½ years in federal prison.

Every elected official in the chart to the left is a Democrat; Democrats outnumber Republicans about 6 to 1 in registration in Philly, and the last Republican mayor left office while Harry Truman was still President.

But if they’re all Democrats, and mostly liberal ones in a chart which begins in 2007, there has been a clear and dramatic difference in how the city’s leadership has performed when it comes to homicides. Mr Nutter inherited 391 murders from his predecessor, John Street, and while the glide path was certainly uneven, the number of killings was reduced to under 300 in his last three years in office. There was a dip of three murders in Mr Kenney’s first year, but then the killings increased rapidly, over 300 in Mr Kenney’s second year, and by the third year were higher than in any of his predecessor’s eight years.

Also see: Robert Stacy McCain: The Symbolism of Philadelphia

While Mr Krasner specifically campaigned on reducing sentences, not pursuing convictions for certain minor’ offenses, and investigating the Police Department, there had been some sentence reductions in Mr Williams’ last few years as well.

While pondering all of this, an uncomfortable thought popped into my head, and I will admit to not knowing the least offensive way to put it, but here it is: when dealing with a murder problem that is very heavily skewed toward Philadelphia’s black population, is it possible that Messrs Nutter, Williams and Ramsey, who are all black men, were simply paid more attention to by the city’s black community than Messrs Kenney and Krasner, who are both white, while Commissioner Outlaw is black, but is also a woman? Is it possible that the previous city leadership were simply more respected by the black community than the people currently in office?

I do not know the answer to the questions I just posed, nor do I know how one would go about researching them, but they are really questions which should be asked.

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The problem is not mass incarceration; the problem is that not enough people are incarcerated, for not a long enough time

Larry Krasner, the police-hating defense attorney sponsored by George Soros to become District Attorney in Philadelphia, really, really doesn’t like putting criminals in jail. He is a strong believer in “restorative justice,” and his office issued, on May 26, 2022, a paper claiming that their “restorative justice” programs have worked just spectacularly well.

So it is no surprise that Mr Krasner doesn’t like it when independent studies show that his policies have led to increases in crime!

New study by former DA links Philadelphia’s high homicide rate to a drop in criminal sentencings

Deprosecution practices started well before DA Larry Krasner’s time in office, research shows

by Kristen Johnson | Monday, August 15, 2022 | 7:25 AM EDT

PHILADELPHIA (KYW Newsradio) — Philadelphia’s high homicide rate may be linked to a rise in deprosecution practices, according to a recent study by the former district attorney of Chester County.

For the third year in a row, homicides in Philadelphia are at an all-time high, and fewer criminal acts are being charged or sought in the city.

According to prosecution research — specifically, sentencing data — former Chester County DA Tom Hogan found prosecutions had dropped 70% over the course of about five to six years in Philadelphia.

“The results that we come up with is that there was an increase of roughly 74 homicides per year from 2015 to 2019 in Philadelphia associated with deprosecution,” he explained.

Hogan, who is also a former criminal defense attorney, served as DA of Chester County from 2012 to 2020. He now works in private practice and is seeking a Ph.D. in criminology next year at the University of Cambridge.

He partnered with the University of Pennsylvania for this study and spent months researching deprosecution. The study found the spike started well before Philly’s current top prosecutor, Larry Krasner — who has faced criticism for his progressive practices — and actually began during DA Seth Williams’ time in office.

“The sentencings decrease by 35% in 2015 over prior trends,” said Hogan. “Then what you see by 2019 is sentencings in Philadelphia are down almost 70%, so that is a huge drop.”

The report makes it clear that the trends in reduced prosecutions and sentencing began under District Attorney Seth Williams, who was himself convicted in federal court. Faced with 29 counts, Mr Williams pleaded guilty to one count of bribery and was sentenced to five years in prison. Due to the completion of a drug rehabilitation program and time off for good behavior while in prison, he was released in just under three years.

Mr Krasner, who campaigned on reducing prosecutions for drug arrests, reviewing old cases to look for prosecutorial misconduct, and holding the police accountable, was elected in 2017, and took office on New Year’s Day of 2018.

So, what happened? While Mr Williams was District Attorney, homicides showed a slight increase from Lynne Abraham’s previous tenure, going from 302 to 306 in 2010, Mr Williams’ first year, then to 326 and 331, before dropping to 246, 248, 280, 277, and a final jump to 315 in Mr Williams last year. Michael Nutter began his two terms as Mayor in 2008, bringing Charles Ramsey along with him as Police Commissioner.

Under Mr Krasner, and Mayor Jim Kenney, homicides immediately jumped to 353 in 2018 and 356 in 2019. But here’s the kicker:

The study does not include 2020 or 2021 data due to anomalies caused by the pandemic and civil unrest.

Thud!

Homicides soared to 499, one short of the record of 500, in 2020, and then not only broke that record, but completely shattered it, rising to 562 in 2021. The study doesn’t include the worst of Mr Krasner’s term!

It’s August 17th, noy quite 2/3 through the year, so we don’t know what 2022’s final numbers will be, but as of 11:59 PM EDT on Tuesday, August 16th, the city is six murders ahead of the same date last year, 345 to 339, a 1.770% increase.

There are a couple of different ways to do the numbers. 345 ÷ 228, the number of days elapsed in the year, = 1.513 murders per day, multiplied by 365 = 552 projected killings. However, if you multiply 562, last year’s total murders, by the current 1.770% increase, the total jumps to 572.

Mr Krasner, of course, does not want to accept any responsibility for the huge surge in homicides:

Hogan said making fewer sentencings was a “policy choice” that started with Williams but “increased dramatically” under Krasner.

When asked, Krasner criticized the study.

“[Hogan] is a traditional prosecutor. He is not a scientist in his field,” said Krasner. “He does not deserve to be a scientist and we respectfully disagree.”

Uh huh, right:

Tom Hogan is an adjunct fellow at the Manhattan Institute. He writes on the issues of the criminal justice system, public safety, terrorism, quantitative analysis, and politics. Hogan has been published in numerous academic journals. In addition, he has been published in and/or quoted by media outlets including City Journal, RealClearPolitics, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, and the Philadelphia Inquirer.

Prior to becoming affiliated with the Manhattan Institute, Hogan has served in multiple roles. He practiced law at a major international law firm and litigation boutique, representing Fortune 500 companies and individuals in complex civil litigation and criminal investigations. He served as a federal prosecutor for the U.S. Department of Justice. He was elected twice as the Chester County District Attorney in Pennsylvania, a county with over 500,000 citizens. He was the chair of the Liberty Mid-Atlantic HIDTA group, coordinating drug law enforcement for state and local organizations across Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware. He has worked with elected officials at the federal, state, and local level on drafting legislation and addressing critical policy issues.

Hogan received his undergraduate degree from Dartmouth College and his legal degree from the University of Virginia School of Law. While practicing law, he also received a Master of Science degree in Criminology from the University of Pennsylvania, concentrating on statistical issues and data science in the criminal justice system. He has taught lawyers, law students, and graduate students from multiple disciplines on issues including criminal procedure, trial advocacy, ethics, officer-involved shootings, and statistical problems.

In other words, Mr Hogan actually is an expert in his field. But, because Mr Krasner doesn’t like the numbers, he has decided that “He is not a scientist in his field,” and “He does not deserve to be a scientist.”

What Mr Hogan found was a strong statistical correlation between reduced prosecution and sentencing, with the greatly increased homicide rate. It’s an old, old truth: correlation does not prove causation, and the correlation Mr Hogan found does not prove that Mr Krasner’s soft-on-criminals policies have caused the homicide rate to increase. However, we have long accepted strong correlations as almost certain causes when it comes to things like smoking causing lung cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, even though not all smokers develop lung cancer or COPD.

But we already know that Mr Krasner’s lenient policies have caused the death of one Philadelphia Police Officer.

One of the people treated leniently by Mr Krasner and his office, and who wasn’t in jail on Friday, March 13, 2020, was Hasan Elliot, 21. How did the District Attorney’s office treat Mr Elliot, a known gang-banger?

  • Mr Elliott, then 18 years old, was arrested in June 2017 on gun- and drug-possession charges stemming after threatening a neighbor with a firearm. The District Attorney’s office granted him a plea bargain arrangement on January 24, 2018, and he was sentenced to 9 to 23 months in jail, followed by three years’ probation. However, he was paroled earlier than that, after seven months in jail.
  • Mr Elliot soon violated parole by failing drug tests and failing to make his meetings with his parole officer.
  • Mr Elliott was arrested and charged with possession of cocaine on January 29, 2019. This was another parole violation, but Mr Krasner’s office did not attempt to have Mr Elliot returned to jail to finish his sentence, nor make any attempts to get serious bail on the new charges; he was released on his own recognizance.
  • After Mr Elliot failed to appear for his scheduled drug-possession trial on March 27, 2019, prosecutors dropped those charges against him.

On that Friday the 13th, Police Corporal James O’Connor IV, 46, was part of a Philadelphia police SWAT team trying to serve a predawn arrest warrant on Mr Elliott, from a March 2019 killing. Mr Elliot greeted the SWAT team with a hail of bullets, and Corporal O’Connor was killed. Had Mr Elliot been in jail, as he could have been due to parole violations, had Mr Krasner’s office treated him seriously, Corporal O’Connor would have gone home safely to his wife that day. The Philadelphia Inquirer reported:

Philadelphia Police Officers and FOP members block District Attorney Larry Krasner from entering the hospital to meet with slain Police Corporal James O’Connor’s family.


Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 5 president John McNesby also has criticized Krasner, saying his policies led to the killing of O’Connor. “Unfortunately, he’s murdered by somebody that should have never been on the street,” McNesby said. McNesby also said FOP members and police officers formed a human barricade to block Krasner from entering the hospital Friday to see O’Connor’s family.

James O’Connor is stone-cold graveyard dead because District Attorney Krasner and his minions, in their abhorrence of mass incarceration, let a repeat offender, one with a record of carrying firearms, using and selling drugs, and flouting his required probation meetings, off the hook. He was a guy who needed to be incarcerated, and who didn’t even need to be tried again to get him locked up, but Mr Krasner and his office left him out on the streets, even though the police had him in physical custody on January 29, 2019.

Did the lenient treatment do Mr Elliot any good? Had Mr Krasner and his minions treated Mr Elliot seriously, he’d have been in jail on that fateful Friday the 13th, but he’d also be looking at getting out of prison eventually. Now, Mr Elliot, and four of his goons, are looking at spending the rest of their miserable lives in prison.

Amazingly enough, the Editorial Board of the Inquirer actually endorsed Mr Krasner for re-election in 2021, saying:

A complex, relatively recent spike in gun violence isn’t a reason to return to the mass incarceration regime of yesteryear, but a challenge to do better.

Yes, it actually is a reason to return to mass incarcerations! Despite Mr Krasner’s, and the Editorial Board’s, assertions, we know one thing with 100% certainty: a criminal locked up in SCI Phoenix can’t shoot someone in Strawberry Mansion or Kensington.

I have said it before: mass incarceration isn’t the problem. The problem is that not enough people are incarcerated, for not a long enough time. Tom Hogan has just proved that.

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Congratulations to Jim Kenney!

Congratulations to Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney! He has just achieved more murders in the City of Brotherly Love so far this year than any full year in which his predecessor, Michael Nutter, held the office. George Soros-sponsored District Attorney Larry Krasner, and Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw certainly deserve credit as well!

Last night was a Monday night, not a weekend, but at a time in which you’d expect Philadelphia’s gang-bangers to slow down a bit, they haven’t. I’d point out that August 8th was a Sunday, end of the weekend, in 2021, the 32nd weekend of the year, and the same number of weekends have elapsed in 2022, so there’s no additional weekend bump in 2022.

Yes, math geeks like me notice things like that.

August 8th was the 220th day of the year. 337 ÷ 220 = 1.5318 homicides per day in Philly, which works out to a projected 559.107 killings in the city for the entire year. But wait: done another way, taking the percentage increase in homicides over last year, 4.0123, and multiplying that by last year’s 562 murders, we could also project 584.549 murders in Philly!

The difference? In 2021, the city actually saw a decrease in the rate of killings between July 9th and September 6th, the end of the Labor Day holiday weekend. That hasn’t happened so far this year, as July saw sixty homicides, while July of 2021 saw ‘only’ 48 murders.

The homicide rate picked up after the Labor Day weekend last year, from an average of 1.4578 per day — which projected out to 532 for the year — and the final 116 days of the year saw 199 homicides, an average of 1.7155 per day, which lifted the yearly average to 1.5397 per day for the year, and 562 murders. While last year’s mid- to late-summer lull hasn’t been seen so far this year, it has to be asked: will last year’s post Labor Day surge be repeated?

At least The Philadelphia Inquirer didn’t ignore the most recent killings, or the surge:

Philly shootings leave 3 dead, including man slain in Popeye’s lot

No arrests have been made, and a motive remains under investigation.

by Rodrigo Torrejón | Tuesday, August 9, 2022

One person was killed and two others were injured in a shooting late Monday night in the parking lot of a Popeye’s in Kensington.

Well, of course it was in Kensington!

Just after 11:15 p.m. Monday, officers responded to a call for a person with a gun on the 300 block of West Lehigh Avenue. When officers arrived, they found multiple people with gunshot wounds inside a red sedan. The victims had been shot in the parking lot of the nearby Popeye’s, 6ABC reported.

Police said that three suspects, all armed, came up to the sedan and fired 47 bullets into the car, 6ABC reported. After the shooting, the suspects took off on foot.

One victim, a man, had multiple gunshot wounds to his head and was pronounced dead shortly after at Temple University Hospital. Another victim, a woman, had several gunshot wounds to her body, and the third victim, a man, had multiple gunshot wounds to his back. They were taken to Temple University Hospital in stable condition.

North Orianna Street, via Google Maps, May 2022. Click to enlarge.

The Popeye’s Chicken restaurant is at the corner of West Lehigh Avenue and North Orianna Street. North Orianna Street in the blocks around West Lehigh Avenue is a neighborhood of older row homes, some with porches barred in to keep out the bad guys, vacant lots with concertina wire topping fences, and a generally poverty-stricken look.

One of the wounded, but not killed, victims, was an employee of the Popeye’s restaurant.

The Inquirer report stated that 47 shots had been fired, but that the police had no motive as of yet, but one thing is obvious: this was a targeted assassination. The newspaper also censored the fact, gleaned from the city’s shootings database, that all of the dead were black males.

Further down:

As of Sunday night, the city was ahead of last year’s pace for what ended in a record high number of 562 homicides for the year. By Sunday night, police reported that 333 people have been killed in Philadelphia so far this year.

There were 324 homicides by the same date last year.

Perhaps it’s a bit unfair for a math geek like me to point this out, but the Inky really needs to start looking at the numbers. I’d like to think that a former Pennsylvanian, now 635 miles away in eastern Kentucky, isn’t the only person actually running, and publicizing, the statistics.

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Killadelphia Philadelphia ties 2013's homicide totals, with more than half of the year remaining.

Congratulations for Philadelphia’s Mayor, Jim Kenney, District Attorney, Larry Krasner, and Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw! As of 11:59 PM EDT on Wednesday, June 22, 2022, under their leadership the City of Brotherly Love has, with 246 homicides this year, tied the total number of murders for the entire year of 2013.

I will admit it: I hadn’t previously thought much of former Mayor Michael Nutter. He was a liberal Democrat in a line of liberal Democrats — Philadelphia’s last Republican mayor left office while Harry Truman was still President! — and, in following John Street, I didn’t really see reason to hope that he’d be any better than Mr Street. But, under Mr Nutter, District Attorney Seth Williams — who wound up with legal problems of his own, and served 2½ years in federal prison — and Police Commissioner Charles Ramsey, murders in the City of Brotherly Love steadily declined, from 391 in 2007, the year before Messrs Nutter and Ramsey took office — Mr Williams was elected in 2009, succeeding Lynne Abraham — down to 246 in 2013. There was an increase to 248 in 2014, and then 280 in 2015, Messrs Nutter’s and Ramsey’s final year in office.

But nothing like the increases under Mayor Kenney! 2016 saw 277 killings, but then they jumped to 315, then 353, 356, 499 and 562 last year. It was only by pure, dumb luck that 2020 finished below 500 homicides, given that there were two more on New Year’s Day of 2021, and the Philadelphia Police Department actually stated that there had been 502 homicides in 2020, before ‘correcting’ that down to 499. I fouled up and didn’t take a screen capture of that when it was up, so you’ll have to take my word for it.

Were it not for the previous record of 500 homicides in 1990, under Mayor Wilson Goode, he of MOVE bombing fame, Mayor Kenney would have both first and second place in the homicide numbers.

But, not to worry: although this year’s homicide numbers are down slightly, 5.75%, the city is still on track for between 519 and 530 homicides, easily good for second place.[1]Methodology: I divided the total homicides by June 22nd of this year by 261, the number of murders on the same date in 2021, yielding 0.9425287356321839, then multiplied that number by 562, the … Continue reading

The chart to the right? That includes only those years in which homicides were at least 400; Mayor Kenney ought to break into that chart again, for this year, sometime between and October 2nd and 8th.

Whatever Messrs Kenney and Krasner, and Miss Outlaw, are doing, doesn’t work!

References

References
↑1 Methodology: I divided the total homicides by June 22nd of this year by 261, the number of murders on the same date in 2021, yielding 0.9425287356321839, then multiplied that number by 562, the number of homicides in 2021 to get 529.70. I use this method to account for the fact that there are more warm months ahead than behind, and homicides normally increase in summer and fall. Another method, dividing 246, the number of homicides, by 173, June 22nd being the 173rd day of the year, yielding a figure of 1.421965317919075 killings per day, then multiplying that by 365, yields 519.02 homicides for the year.
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In which Larry Krasner shows us just how much respect he has for the Philadelphia Police!

Sometimes, you just can’t make up this stuff!

Philadelphia’s George Soros stooge ‘progressive’ District Attorney, Larry Krasner, tweeted:

Ahead of Father’s Day, I challenge anyone thinking about picking up a gun unlawfully, think twice, and remember the families gun violence is wrecking. If you are caught by the @PPD, you will be held accountable. Have a peaceful Father’s Day weekend.

The image to the right is a screen capture of Mr Krasner’s original, because it’s highly likely that he’ll delete it. Why? @PPD is not the Philadelphia Police Department’s Twitter account, @PhillyPolice is. @PPD leads to a suspended account.

Mr Krasner’s recent tweet is very much at odds with what he has said before, that he does not believe that arresting people and convicting them for illegal gun possession is a viable strategy to reduce shootings. Perhaps I’m just not edumacated enough, but it seems to me that a guy who’s locked up can’t shoot anyone, that a guy who does not have a firearm cannot shoot someone.

That latter is what the gun grabbers argue, right, and Mr Krasner wants stronger gun control laws, but he won’t enforce the ones already on the books!

There’s a move in Harrisburg by the state House of Representatives to impeach and remove Mr Krasner, but it will fail: while the Republicans have majoritioes in both Houses of the General Assembly, they do not have the requisite 2/3 super majority to remove him from office.

And why should they? In his initial campaign in 2017, Mr Krasner told the voters what he would do, and he was elected by a wide margin. Then in 2021, with plenty of evidence that Mr Krasner was doing exactly what he said he would do, the good people of Philadelphia re-elected him, by a landslide margin. One thing is clear: Philadelphians want a district attorney who will not seriously prosecute criminals.

The city’s last Republican mayor left office when Harry Truman was President of the United States. Seventy straight years of Democratic Party rule has helped turn the City of Brotherly Love into the [insert slang for feces here]hole city that it is today, but the voters simply can’t learn the obvious lesson, that Democratic policies simply do not work.

So, my friends in the state House of Representatives, leave Mr Krasner alone. He is exactly what the good people of Philadelphia want, and he is exactly what the people of Philadelphia deserve.

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Chesa Boudin gets kicked to the curb

It has been said that a conservative is a liberal who has been mugged. Well, to quote Yogi, I’m smarter than the average bear, I’m a conservative who has never been mugged, but was smart enough to figure out, all on my own, that being soft and lenient on crime does not turn criminals into liberal sweethearts, but just more emboldened criminals. Sadly, it took being mugged for the leftists in the land of fruits and nuts to figure out what ought to have been plain, common sense:

S.F. DA recalled, L.A.’s Caruso advances as Democrats tested on crime

Some of the highest-profile primaries were fueled by angst over liberal leaders’ approach to public safety

by Hannah Knowles | Tuesday, June 7, 2022 | 11:00 PM EDT | Updated: Wednesday, June 8, 2022 | 2:58 AM EDT

Crime, homelessness and Democratic divisions over the issues took center stage Tuesday as a liberal prosecutor in San Francisco was recalled and seven states held primaries that helped mold each party’s image heading into November’s fight for control of Congress, statehouses and major cities across the country.

The recall of San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin (D) — whom critics called too lenient — came as angst over liberal leaders’ approach to public safety also loomed large in a contest for Los Angeles mayor, where Rep. Karen Bass (D-Calif.) and billionaire businessman Rick Caruso are projected to advance to a runoff. Caruso, a former Republican, has pitched himself as a different kind of Democrat who will fix long-simmering crises in the nation’s second-largest city.

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