Oдна смерть – трагедия, миллион смертей – статистика

Josef Stalin allegedly said, “One death is a tragedy, one million deaths are a statistic.”

My good friend Jeffery, who is now going by the pseudonym Elwood P Dowd, in the comments section in The Pirate’s Cove, complained about the accidental killing of a 3-year-old girl when she found a loaded 9 mm in the back seat of retired Henderson County Sheriff’s Captain Tim Gordon’s, her father’s, pickup truck.

Mr Dowd, a stone liberal, asked, “Who leaves an unsecured, loaded 9 mm in full view in an unlocked vehicle? Was a three year old able to take the safety off?”

He then said:

No one was forced to leave a loaded, unsecured weapon at the ready in the back seat where a 3 yr girl could blow her brains out.

But as we all know, dead kids are a small price to pay for freedom! Except for the family of the dead child.

Anyway, the violent crime rate peaked in the early 90s (7500/million) and then dropped precipitously until about 2015 (4000/million) and has been very slowly increasing since. The peak was in 1991 (G.H.W. Bush) and the nadir in 2014 (B.H. Obama). Violent crime is up in 2021 by anywhere from 5 to 25 percent compared to 2020.

You mean up by anywhere from 5 to 25 percent under Joe Biden from what it was under President Trump!

But, it can’t be under liberal policies which drastically reduce or eliminate bail, or police departments so afraid of being labeled raaaaacist that they look the other way when POCs (perpetrators of color) commit crimes, or governments so worried about ‘mass incarceration’ that they let violent criminals go, or George Soros-funded social justice prosecutors like Philadelphia’s Larry Krasner who is more interested in going after the police than the bad guys take office?

The spectacular failure of liberal policies has been written in blood, written in blood! With one day left in 2021, 559 people have been sent to an early grave in the City of Brotherly Love, completely destroying 1990’s record of 500, and last year’s 499. In Mr Dowd’s hometown of St Louis, 192 souls have been sent early to their eternal rewards, 176 of them black, 91.667% of the total, in a city that the 2020 census found to be 46.41% black.[1]The chart was made by me; the source was a .pdf file from the St Louis Metropolitan Police Department, of homicides as of December 29, 2021.

With a black population of 143,018, assuming that 49% are male, there are 70,079 black males living in the Gateway City. If St Louis finishes the year with ‘only’ 192 homicides, with 144 of them being of black males, that makes the homicide rate for black males in your hometown 205.48 per 100,000 population!

For white males in St Louis, 6 of whom have been murdered in 2021, the homicide rate is 8.54 per 100,000. But I’m sure that it’s raaaaacist to point out the numbers, because, after all, math itself is racist!

Mr Dowd was complaining about a 3-year-old who was tragically killed due to someone’s mistake, but when it comes to 144 black males in your hometown being murdered, well, it’s like Josef Stalin said, or “One death is a tragedy, a million deaths are a statistic.”

Leftist policies, his policies, in his own hometown, have been a miserable failure. But the St Louis media are proclaiming it all a victory!

St. Louis homicides dropped 25% in 2021, back to pre-pandemic levels

The drop in violence brings the city back near pre-pandemic levels when 194 people were murdered.

by Rhyan Henson and Robert Townsend | Published: 7:38 PM CST December 30, 2021 | Updated: 10:59 PM CST December 30, 2021

ST. LOUIS — Homicides in St. Louis dropped roughly 25% in 2021, returning to pre-pandemic levels.

  • 2021: 192
  • 2020: 263
  • 2019: 194

Experts said the 2020 spike in violence was driven largely by the pandemic and high tensions following civil unrest. More lock downs, people losing jobs and strained relationships between communities and law enforcement all led to more murders University of Missouri – St. Louis Criminology Professor Richard Rosenfeld said.

“That means people are less likely to call the police when they would have in the past,” Rosenfeld said. “Less likely to cooperate with police when the police are investigating crimes. more likely to take matters into their own hands. I think we’ve seen the decline (in murders) in St. Louis by and large because the conditions that gave way to the increase have improved.”

Law enforcement officers often get credit for making the city safer, but Rosenfeld said fewer COVID restrictions and decreased tensions made a tough job a little easier.

I will admit it: seeing the homicide rate come down to 205.48 per 100,000 population for black males in the Gateway City doesn’t exactly strike me as somehow being a victory.

As crime took off in 2020, so did leaders’ passions to start community anti-violent movements. Atif Mahr has mentored countless youth at Wohl Recreational Center with their “Stop The Violence” program.

“As they grew up in the rec center, they learned things in life that changed variables in their thinking and actions,” Mahr said.

Tragically Mahr knows the sting of losing a loved one to violence. This fall his daughter was shot and killed. In December, he and teens from across the area led an anti-violence march through the streets of St. Louis. Mahr believes real bonds and face-to-face interactions change communities one person at a time.

Board of Alderman President Lewis Reed is also pleased with the progress. He’s helped usher in the Cure Violence program in three neighborhoods.

“I am so pleased to see our violent crime rates have gone down dramatically,” Reed said. “It really gives you hope for the city of St. Louis and the future of our youth. You see people working together. See people taking care of each other. The cure violence personnel engaging in the lives of these families and young kids and see them doing the right thing. See them turning their lives around.”

So, they’re blaming the 2020 surge on the pandemic, and congratulating themselves that the homicide numbers have returned to normal. I suppose that’s better than Philadelphia, where 2021 has seen 559 homicides as of December 30th, compared to ‘only’ 499 in 2020.

Of course, St Louis is smaller than Philadelphia, and even if we don’t consider race and sex, St Louis murder rate, if it ends the year at 192, and with a population of 294,890 according to the 2020 census,[2]I prefer to use the actual census numbers, since it was just a year ago, but will have to start using the guesstimates as the years move between 2020 and 2030. will be 65.11 per 100,000 population. Chicago, our nation’s murder capital as far as the gross numbers are concerned, with a projected 801 homicides for the year, but a population of 2,746,388, has a murder rate of ‘just’ 29.17 per 100,000, while the City of Brotherly Love, with 1,603,797 souls therein, will finish the year around 34.92 per 100,000.

References

References
1 The chart was made by me; the source was a .pdf file from the St Louis Metropolitan Police Department, of homicides as of December 29, 2021.
2 I prefer to use the actual census numbers, since it was just a year ago, but will have to start using the guesstimates as the years move between 2020 and 2030.
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3 thoughts on “Oдна смерть – трагедия, миллион смертей – статистика

  1. My good friend Jeffery, who is now going by the pseudonym Elwood P Dowd, (AKA Rimjob)…


    #LetsGoBrandon
    #FJB
    Bwaha! Lolgf !!!

  2. Pingback: Morbid math – THE FIRST STREET JOURNAL.

  3. Pingback: To our credentialed media, truth is racist! – THE FIRST STREET JOURNAL.

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