Well, it took a long time, but the City of Brotherly Love hit 400 homicides for the fourth year in a row. Still, it’s progress, because Philadelphia will be well under 500, a number hit the previous two years, and there’s good reason to suspect that the total topped 500 three years ago as well.
The news is even better than expected: as recently as October 1st, the mat worked out to a projected 439.60 homicides. Now, it works out to 412.43, using a daily average of 1.2994 homicides per day. But, using the figures only since October 1st, 70 homicides in 80 days, 0.875 killings per day, and 11 days left in 2023, that works out to 9.625 more murders in the city, for a total of 409 or 410 for the year. There were 12 murders in the last 11 days of 2022.
The most interesting part of that math is that there have been fewer than one homicide per day for almost the last three months!