Congratulations to Philadelphia! 2020 has won the silver medal!

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In 1989, the City of Brotherly Love set a new record for homicides, at 489 souls. The record didn’t last long, as 505 people gave up the ghost in Philadelphia’s streets the following year, but, after that, the number of murders started declining, and 1989 still holds the silver medal.

Well, not anymore: as of 11:59 PM on Sunday, December 27th, Philadelphia tied that 489 number, with four days left to go in 2020. With a current average of 1.3508 homicides per day, Philly ought to easily move past that number, and end up with 494 or 495 homicides. Mayor Jim Kenney (D-Philadelphia), District Attorney Larry Krasner (D-Philadelphia) and Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw ought to be really proud of the jobs that they have done.

Really, it wasn’t easy for them. When Mayor Michael Nutter (D-Philadelphia) and Police Commissioner Charles Ramsey retired in first week of January, 2016, they left a city which saw 280 homicides in their last year. The year before Messrs Nutter and Ramsey took office, 2007, Philly had suffered through 391 killings. In their first year in office, the number of homicides dropped by 60, to 331.

In 2007, the homicide rate was 27.3 per 100,000 population. By 2013, it was down to 15.9. A bad spike in 2015, their last year in office, saw the murder rate jump to 17.9, as there were 280 killings that year, up from 248 the previous year.

In 2017, it jumped to 21.1, and then to 22.2 in 2018 and 2019. All of the progress under Messrs Nutter and Ramsey had been undone.

Now, at the end of 2020, projecting 494 homicides, and with the city’s population last guesstimated at 1.556 million, the homicide rate figures out to 31.75 per 100.000. Even if the last four days of the year pass with no more killings, the rate works out to 31.43. Either would be the highest number since 1997. Mr Krasner has accomplished what he set out to do, with his cockamamie social justice version of law enforcement.

Everyone hears about Chicago, where murders have skyrocketed under laughable Mayor Lori Lightfoot. According to The Chicago Tribune’s Tracking Chicago Homicides page, last updated following Sunday, December 20, 2020, the Windy City had seen 753 murders. That’s a lot of blood running into the gutters. But with a population of 2.706 million, the homicide rate there is 27.83, pending, of course, the final blood tally for the year. That’s a lot lower than Philadelphia’s! If Philly had Chicago’s murder rate, there’d be about 60 fewer people murdered in the streets. That’s how bad Philadelphia has become.
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Cross-posted on RedState.

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4 thoughts on “Congratulations to Philadelphia! 2020 has won the silver medal!”

  3. Leftists always do a great job of ending black lives be they in the womb or on the streets. Kudos to the leftists running the City of Bloody Love!

    • I have said it many times before: white supremacists must absolutely love the abortion rate of black women, and the homicide rate among black men:

      Perceiving and Addressing the Pervasive Racial Disparity in Abortion

      James Studnicki, John W. Fisher, and James L. Sherley | August 18, 2020

      Black women have been experiencing induced abortions at a rate nearly 4 times that of White women for at least 3 decades, and likely much longer. The impact in years of potential life lost, given abortion’s high incidence and racially skewed distribution, indicates that it is the most demographically consequential occurrence for the minority population. The science community has refused to engage on the subject and the popular media has essentially ignored it. In the current unfolding environment, there may be no better metric for the value of Black lives.

      While induced abortion remains a contentious political issue, there is no credible scientific doubt that a unique human life begins at conception and, therefore, ends with an abortion. Even the Obama administration and the abortion-friendly Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation have acknowledged “the critical importance of a child’s first 1,000 days after conception in determining a healthy and productive life trajectory…to ensure that all children…have an equal opportunity to survive and thrive.”1

      Yet, the evidence is clear that for many decades Black children in the United States have not had, and do not have today, an equal opportunity to survive until birth. The most recent CDC report on abortion in the United States indicates that, in 2016, the Non-Hispanic Black abortion rate (25.1 abortions per 1,000 women age 15-44) was 3.8 times the Non-Hispanic White rate of 6.6.2 One could reasonably hope, given the pattern of declining abortion rates for 3 decades, that the racial disparity in abortion also would be decreasing. However, between 2007-2016, the Black rate declined 29% and the White rate declined 33%-meaning that the racial disparity actually increased rather than decreased during that time period. It is also important to note that 5 states that did not report race-specific abortion data (or no data at all in the case of California) to the CDC (California, New York, Texas, Florida and Illinois) account for fully half of all U.S. abortions and a third of all Black women of child bearing age. Further, the CDC notes that non-reporting states have “populations of minority women so that the absence of their data reduces the representativeness of the CDC data.” This means that the existing CDC reports possibly underestimate the size of the racial disparity in abortion nationwide.

      The racial disparity in abortion rates in the U.S. is pervasive and persistent. Between 1990-2014, 43 states and the District of Columbia reported race-specific abortion data to the CDC.3 Many states reported intermittently and only 22 states reported for all 25 years. The national average (aggregating all available states and years) Black/White abortion rate disparity for the entire period was 3.44. The 1990 disparity was 3.00 (B 25.87/W 8.63) and by 2014 it was 3.64 (B 12.68/W 3.48). In data collected directly from the individual states (not from CDC) for the more recent calendar year 2018, the 27 reporting states average a Black abortion rate of 21.78 and a White abortion rate of 6.38 for a racial disparity of 3.41. Some noteworthy states and their racial disparity in abortion include: Wisconsin (5.59), Michigan (5.41), Minnesota (4.78) and Pennsylvania (4.80).4 Therefore, despite incomplete reporting especially from high-volume abortion states with large populations of minority women, Black women have been experiencing abortions at a rate nearly 4 times that of White women for more than 30 years. It is very likely that the disparity existed even before there was any reporting.

      One way to measure the impact of race-specific abortion rates on the size and demographic composition of the U.S. population is to calculate the years of potential life lost (YPLL) from abortion and to compare its impact to other causes of death. YPLL is the preferred public health metric for quantifying the social, economic and demographic loss resulting from premature death. It allows the estimation of the burden of premature death for any cause and can assess socioeconomic inequalities by race (as in our application), education, gender or other available characteristics.5 YPLL 75 is calculated by accumulating all years from the age at death up to 75, for all deaths for each cause of death. We selected the state of Pennsylvania (2018) to illustrate the YPLL construct because of its relatively high abortion volume (n = 30,364), very high black abortion rate (37.16) and a high racial disparity in abortion rates (4.80).

      In Pennsylvania in 2018, there were 61,011 White deaths (these are premature recorded deaths of all deceased persons up to age 75, plus abortions) from all causes and 20,976 Black deaths.6 Abortions were 23.9% of White deaths and 62.7% of Black deaths. To calculate YPLL we subtracted 23.8% of Black abortions and 20.9% of White abortions to reflect estimated natural fetal losses. Total White YPLL was 1,610,908 years and White abortions accumulated 866,916 YPLL or 53.8%. Total Black YPLL was 911,955 years and Black abortions accumulated 751,522 YPLL or 82.4% (Figure 1). In Pennsylvania in 2018, there were 472 Black homicide deaths that generated 20,964 YPLL. For comparison purposes, Black abortions represented 28 times more deaths and 36 times as many YPLL as Black homicides.

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